This report presents demographic forecasts for the San Joaquin Valley and the eight county-wide Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs) in the Valley. The MPOs may use these forecasts to assist in determining the impact of various development densities on the fiscal health of cities and counties in the San Joaquin Valley and identifying market demand for higher density residential housing projects associated with the preferred growth scenario of the San Joaquin Valley Regional Blueprint. Equally important, these forecasts can be incorporated into the common traffic model being developed for the MPOs. The forecasts may also be used to formulate items such as Sustainable Community Strategies required under SB 375 and the Regional Housing Needs Allocation, also required under state law.
*Please note: On April 5, 2012, the San Joaquin Valley Regional Planning Agencies' Directors' Committee accepted the final version of the San Joaquin Valley Demographic Forecast 2010-2050 (dated March 27, 2012), and directed staff to use the projections as input for the San Joaquin Valley Higher Density Residential Housing Market Study and San Joaquin Valley Fiscal Analysis Tool project; both projects are currently under-way.
In addition, the Directors' also directed staff to arrange future meetings with both the California Department of Finance (DOF) and the Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD) to discuss the final projections from this study and their possible effects upon planning activities in the Valley.
|San Joaquin Valley Demographic Forecasts - Final 27 Mar 2012.pdf||1.71 MB|